Clary argues the deterioration in ties accelerated a broader recalibration already under way in Delhi.
“Since May 2025, and reinforced by the subsequent US-India mini-trade war, India has rebalanced its global portfolio of relationships to be somewhat less dependent on the US,” he says.
That has involved “moving closer to the European Union, accelerating diplomatic repairs with China, and resisting American pressure to sever ties with Russia”.
Still, India’s larger strategic trajectory remains intact. “India is a big enough power,” Clary says, “that disequilibrium does not imperil its continued rise.”

If the diplomatic consequences remain contested, the military lessons are clearer.
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